[Ok-sus] Fwd: My ASPO Webinar - Transport Beyond Oil - The Economic, National Securi ty, Energy and Environmental Implications of New Paradigms
bwaldrop1952 at att.net
Sat Nov 3 14:05:42 CDT 2012
This webinar will be November 15th, between 2 and 330 PM, Eastern time.
Bob Waldrop, OKC
-------- Original Message --------
My Webinar will look at three oil free paradigms that will result in a
step change down in energy consumption for a fraction of the
population/economy - and a step change up in energy efficiency for that
There are strong indications that there is existing market demand for
these three new paradigms - that investing in them will be "Rolling
Boulders Downhill". Some effort to get going, but self reinforcing once
The invite is at
A sneak peak for the members here. The three new paradigms are
1) Electrifying and expanding the freight rail system and shift much of
the truck freight to rail - trade 20 BTUs of refined diesel for 1 BTU of
potentially renewable electricity by shifting freight from trucks to
electrified double stack container trains (the most efficient mode, much
more efficient than single stack or diesel rail). Improved and oil free
inter-city rail passenger service is a bonus.
2) Urban Rail and associated Transit Orientated Development - Major
cities with established urban rail systems use about 60% of the gasoline
of those without. TOD dramatically enhances that effect - the Chair of
the Congress of New Urbanism claims TOD has 1/4th the carbon (and hence
energy) footprint of Suburbia.
Roughly 30% of Americans want to live in TOD, but less than 2% do
because there is just not enough "T" to "OD" around. See the market
premium for living close to a Metro station to confirm the market demand
3) Making bicycling safer and easier. Any % shift to bicycling is an
orders of magnitude drop in energy and carbon demand. Copenhagen, after
the 1973 Arab Oil Embargo set about increasing bike modal share as a
deliberate energy policy. After decades of effort, 38% of urban trips
are by bike and plans are to increase that to 50%.
In the USA, towns and cities may need to increase bicycling modal share
from 0.7% or 2% to 5%, then 12% and ...
Bicycling provides a general and wide based opportunity for individuals
to make an oil free choice. The investment required is very small and
the cost-benefit ratio can be extraordinarily high. As the price of oil
increases, and climate awareness grows, demand for bicycling will surely
grow - if it is safe and easy to bicycle to work, school and shop.
None of these are all encompassing "solutions" but are rather oil free
alternatives that can be developed in parallel to our established oil
based transportation paradigms. They are major shifts for significant
fractions of our total oil and energy demand.
More information about the Ok-sus